EU braces for revolt as Poland vows veto on cuts to Hungary in latest attack on VDL

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The European Union is facing a revolt from within as Poland slams planned cuts to Hungary’s funding. Last week, the EU Commission proposed to suspend €7.2billion of funds allocated to Hungary over corruption fears. The Commission also set out requirements for Hungary to keep access to the funding, including new legislation, which Budapest said it would meet.

Coming out in defence of Viktor Orban’s government, Polish leader Mateusz Morawiecki said on Sunday: “Poland will oppose in the strongest terms any action by the European institutions that intends to unlawfully deprive any member state of funds, in this case Hungary in particular.”

The two countries had been locking horns over Mr Orban’s alliance to Russian President Vladimir Putin and Budapest’s reluctance to provide military support to Ukraine.

But at the beginning of this month, Mr Morawiecki announced his intention to return to normal cooperation with Hungary within the Visegrad Group of nations.

On Monday, Hungary’s government has submitted the first of several anti-corruption bills to parliament in a bid to avoid losing billions of euros from the EU.

Justice Minister Judit Varga said on her Facebook page that she had submitted the first bill to parliament as the government “will focus on drafting and implementing the commitments (to the EU) in coming weeks and months”.

Mr Orban, in power since 2010, has clashed with Brussels repeatedly over his policies that it sees as eroding democracy in Hungary.

However, with big challenges over rising energy costs and double-digit inflation, a weak forint and a slowing economy, the veteran prime minister looks willing to fulfil EU demands to finally create institutions that would cut corruption risks in EU-funded projects.

“The latest developments in Brussels certainly come at a bad time for Orban, who is struggling with a swath of political and economic problems brought about by both global issues, most notably rising energy prices, so he is likely to go further to satisfy Brussels’ demands,” said Mujtaba Rahman, Managing Director Europe at Eurasia Group.

He said Budapest would likely secure the pending deal but that would not resolve all the outstanding disagreements over other chunks of EU funds.

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“The bigger problem for Orban is the money tied up in the Recovery Fund, because the Commission has more discretion over whether it gives that the green light or not,” Mr Rahman added.

Like most EU countries, Hungary last year submitted its blueprint on how it would use EU grants to make its economy more environmentally friendly and high-tech after the COVID-19 pandemic. It has yet to receive approval on that as well.

If Budapest does not get the EU funds, the forint – which has lost 8 percent this year – will almost certainly fall further, complicating efforts to curb inflation and exposing Hungarian assets to any negative shift in global sentiment.

Development Minister Tibor Navracsics, in charge of negotiations with the EU, said on Sunday that Hungary would meet all 17 of its commitments made to the commission to stave off the loss of any funding.

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