Polls are now open in the US for the 2022 midterm elections, with 35 Senate seats, 435 House seats and 39 Gubernatorial positions up for grabs. But what time will we know who wins? After it hit 7am on the east coast of the US (midday in the UK), polling booths opened as Americans cast their votes in the midterm elections.
Analysts and experts have widely predicted a Republican win in the House of Representatives, with some tipping the GOP to also win the Senate, making the Biden Administration a “lame duck”.
In their generic ballot poll from November 5 to 7, Atlasintel gave the Republicans a three point lead over the Republicans.
Surveying 863 likely voters with a margin of error of three points, the pollsters suggest Republicans will see 49.7 percent of the vote, while Democrats see 46.6 percent. The remaining 3.6 percent percent said they don’t know how they will vote.
President Joe Biden told a private fundraiser on Friday in Chicago: “If we lose the House and Senate, it’s going to be a horrible two years.”
CNN reported the remarks from the event, where the Democrat also said: “The good news is I’ll have a veto pen.”
READ MORE: US midterms LIVE: Voting underway as Republican red wave expected
What states could take the longest to declare?
Some races, such as Georgia’s Senate election, might not be decided until December if neither candidate gets 50 percent of the vote (which will trigger a runoff election).
The Senate election between Republican Herschel Walker and incumbent Democrat Raphael Warnock is tipped to be a tight race, and more than 2.5 million Georgians have already cast ballots by mail or voting early in person, according to NBC.
The broadcasters early vote tracker suggested that, of those who voted early, 49 percent are registered Democrats and 42 percent are Republicans.
Meanwhile, Philadelphia officials voted on Tuesday morning to impose a last-minute rule change imposing poll book reconciliation which will draw out the vote-count process.
The change is intended to prevent double votes, flagging any mail-in ballots from voters who also cast ballots in person.
Which races could be called earliest?
Some early races to watch out for include Representative Jennifer Wexton (D) in the blue suburbs of Washington DC. If she loses, it could be an early sign of a red wave.
Similarly, if Karoline Leavitt (R), a 25-year-old former press aide for Trump, wins in New Hampshire it could be a sign things aren’t looking good for the Dems.
Conversely, if Democrats hold districts in Republican areas, including, for example, Matt Cartwright (D) of Pennsylvania and Tom Malinowski (D) of New Jersey, it could be a sign that the President’s party will do better than expected.